2015 Season results for Santa Teresa (GV,3-5A)

43   14   6
Rank in
State, Class, District
923     96
Strength     Momentum
1052   41.9(48)
SOS,       RPI(RPI Rank)

Season Records:
Overall  5W   13L   2T 
District  1W   7L   2T 
Expected  12:   6+   1- 
("W L T" = Win Loss Tie,
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)

DateOpponent1 RGWF4 Opp
Strength
ResultExpectation2Playing
Strength
P(Win)3Send
EMail
08/19/15 at Onate 0.0001183L 1- 5 Expected (-1) 864 21%
08/25/15 Gadsden 0.0001030L 1- 2 Expected (0) 915 40%
08/28/15 at Alamogordo ? 0.0001050L 0- 4 Expected (-3) 797 33%
08/28/15 at Onate 0.0001183L 0- 6 Expected (-3) 761 21%
08/29/15 at Gadsden 0.0001030W 2- 1 Better (+2)1038 35%
09/09/15 at Silver 0.004759W 2- 1 Expected (0) 903 66%
09/10/15 Artesia ?? 0.003674L 0- 4 Worse (-7) 586 78%
09/12/15 Deming ! 0.0071136W 3- 1 Better (+4)1118 29%
09/15/15 Alamogordo 0.0091050L 0- 3 Expected (-2) 825 38%
09/16/15 at Deming !! 0.0121136W 5- 3 Better (+4)1141 25%
09/22/15 Belen 0.036975T 2- 2 Better (0) 937 47%
09/26/15 at Los Lunas 0.0551093L 2- 5 Expected (-1) 869 29%
09/29/15 Chaparral 0.059980W 5- 0 Better (+5)1192 46%
10/03/15 at Valencia 0.1121086L 0- 4 Expected (-2) 815 29%
10/06/15 at Centennial 0.1991055L 2- 3 Expected (+1) 951 33%
10/10/15 at Belen  975 F -1- 1Forfeit -1--- 41%
10/13/15 Los Lunas 0.1341093L 0- 6 Expected (-5) 693 33%
10/17/15 at Chaparral 0.498980L 0- 1 Expected (0) 913 41%
10/20/15 Valencia 0.5951086T 0- 0 Better (+1) 993 34%
10/24/15 Centennial 0.6251055L 0- 2 Expected (-1) 877 37%
      Notes:
      1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game
         Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Santa Teresa actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted
      2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin
      3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference
      4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game
      * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage

The median opponent strength is 1052, while
Santa Teresa's "weighted playing strength" is 917
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)

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