43 14 6 Rank in State, Class, District |
923 96 Strength Momentum |
1052 41.9(48) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/19/15 | at Onate | 0.000 | 1183 | L 1- 5 | Expected (-1) | 864 | 21% | |
08/25/15 | Gadsden | 0.000 | 1030 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 915 | 40% | |
08/28/15 | at Alamogordo ? | 0.000 | 1050 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-3) | 797 | 33% | |
08/28/15 | at Onate | 0.000 | 1183 | L 0- 6 | Expected (-3) | 761 | 21% | |
08/29/15 | at Gadsden | 0.000 | 1030 | W 2- 1 | Better (+2) | 1038 | 35% | |
09/09/15 | at Silver | 0.004 | 759 | W 2- 1 | Expected (0) | 903 | 66% | |
09/10/15 | Artesia ?? | 0.003 | 674 | L 0- 4 | Worse (-7) | 586 | 78% | |
09/12/15 | Deming ! | 0.007 | 1136 | W 3- 1 | Better (+4) | 1118 | 29% | |
09/15/15 | Alamogordo | 0.009 | 1050 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-2) | 825 | 38% | |
09/16/15 | at Deming !! | 0.012 | 1136 | W 5- 3 | Better (+4) | 1141 | 25% | |
09/22/15 | Belen | 0.036 | 975 | T 2- 2 | Better (0) | 937 | 47% | |
09/26/15 | at Los Lunas | 0.055 | 1093 | L 2- 5 | Expected (-1) | 869 | 29% | |
09/29/15 | Chaparral | 0.059 | 980 | W 5- 0 | Better (+5) | 1192 | 46% | |
10/03/15 | at Valencia | 0.112 | 1086 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-2) | 815 | 29% | |
10/06/15 | at Centennial | 0.199 | 1055 | L 2- 3 | Expected (+1) | 951 | 33% | |
10/10/15 | at Belen | 975 | F -1- 1 | Forfeit -1 | --- | 41% | ||
10/13/15 | Los Lunas | 0.134 | 1093 | L 0- 6 | Expected (-5) | 693 | 33% | |
10/17/15 | at Chaparral | 0.498 | 980 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 913 | 41% | |
10/20/15 | Valencia | 0.595 | 1086 | T 0- 0 | Better (+1) | 993 | 34% | |
10/24/15 | Centennial | 0.625 | 1055 | L 0- 2 | Expected (-1) | 877 | 37% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Santa Teresa actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1052, while
Santa Teresa's "weighted playing strength" is 917
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.69 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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